There Goes Afghanistan

While we have been at war, or maybe not so much lately in Afghanistan, the forgotten war, the Taliban and al Qaeda have partnered once again in earnest. Further, al Qaeda is successfully competing for fighters, those leaving Islamic State. The reemergence of al Qaeda will likely go well in collaboration with the Taliban due in part to the Taliban’s increased revenue sources.

There are about 10,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan; about 8,500 of them are soldiers.

Current plans call for that number to drop to about 5,000 in 2016, but the top commander in Afghanistan, Gen. John Campbell, testified on Capitol Hill earlier this month that he wants “greater flexibility” to potentially keep more troops in-country. More from ArmyTimes.

Taliban Gets ‘Windfall’ from Poppy Harvest to Fund Offensives

The Taliban will reap “windfall” profits from a bumper poppy harvest in Afghanistan this spring to fund coming offensives, a U.S. military spokesman in Kabul said Thursday.

“The poppy crop is really the engine that provides all the money that fuels the Taliban,” and the insurgents were expected to benefit from “this very good poppy crop that they had this year,” said Army Brig. Gen. Charles H. Cleveland.

“As a result, we do expect an uptick in Taliban efforts to attack” when the harvest is completed later this month, with offensives focused on southwestern Helmand province, the center of the Afghan narcotics trade, Cleveland, the deputy chief for communications of the Resolute Support mission, said in a video briefing from Kabul to the Pentagon.

Taliban fighters in recent weeks essentially dropped the fight to assist in the harvest, giving respite to the struggling 215th Division of the Afghan National Security Forces in Helmand province, Cleveland said.

“A lot of the Taliban fighters have been out harvesting the poppy,” he said. Once the harvest is complete later this month, “We think that will be the next big Taliban push,” he said. “We think it will come in Helmand.”

The poppy trade in in Afghanistan supplies about 90 percent of the world’s heroin and is estimated by the United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime to be worth about $3 billion annually to the Afghan economy.

Narcotics trafficking goes virtually unimpeded in Afghanistan. The U.S. has dropped its eradication and crop substitution efforts. The U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration still has an office in Kabul but no longer conducts field operations.

The United Nations estimated that the poppy crop fell by about 19 percent last year mostly due to poor weather, but plentiful rain this year was expected to produce a bumper crop.

“We are happy that we had a good harvest this year compared with previous years,” Abdul Rahim Mutmain, a farmer in Helmand, told The New York Times.

“There is no security concern for a single laborer being checked or robbed by the police,” he said. “The entire district is under Taliban control and the bulk of the harvesters are Taliban.”

A typical Afghan farmer can get $200 for a kilogram of opium produced from poppy, according to the United Nations. The same amount of green beans will fetch $1.

Cleveland said the U.S. has 700 to 800 troops in Helmand now to advise and assist the 215th Division in preparing for the expected Taliban offensive. The troops, including Special Forces and Army 10th Mountain Division troops, mostly work out of the grounds of the old Camp Leatherneck, the former headquarters for the U.S. Marine presence in Afghanistan, Cleveland said.

The Taliban’s strength and funding will be factors in the recommendations to higher command and President Barack Obama of Army Gen. John Nicholson, the new commander of U.S. and NATO forces in Afghanistan, on whether to continue with the planned U.S. troop withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Cleveland said Nicholson was expected to complete his assessment later this month. The U.S. currently has about 9,800 troops in Afghanistan and the current plan calls for that number to be reduced to about 5,500 by the end of this year.

Al-Qaeda Said To Boost Taliban Fight Against Afghan Government

al-Qaeda is working more closely with the Taliban in Afghanistan and could bolster the militant group’s fight against government forces, a NATO spokesman says.

“By themselves, we don’t think that they pose…a real significant threat, to the government of Afghanistan,” spokesman Brigadier General Charles Cleveland said on May 5.

“But because we think that Al-Qaeda is…beginning to work more with Taliban, they can present a bit of an accelerant for the Taliban. They can provide capabilities and skills and those types of things.”

Last fall, the head of Al-Qaeda, Ayman al-Zawahri, announced his backing for the new Taliban leader, Mullah Akhtar Mansur.

“Since that time, we have seen more interaction” between the two groups, Cleveland said.

He estimated that there are 100 to 300 Al-Qaeda members in Afghanistan.

“Although they have been significantly diminished, they do have the ability to regenerate very quickly, and they still do have the ability to pose a threat,” he said.

Cleveland said the Taliban will also get a boost this year from a bumper crop for poppies, its main source of funding.

***** The Afghanistan Failing Economy aids the Taliban

CNN: Several would-be recruits who talked to a local freelance cameraman working for CNN said the only reason they joined the Taliban was because they couldn’t put food on the table.
“I want to join them because of the lack of jobs and my other economic problems,” the first recruit told us.
The second man, who showed us his high school diploma, told us he’d been to university and still couldn’t find a job. The Taliban offered him more than he could earn in the army, he claimed.
“I don’t have anything to do with their viewpoints. My only reason to join them is my economical problems and unemployment,” he added.
A seven-month Taliban veteran who was trying to convince the pair to join their fight told us he’d been working for a foreign company who let him go when they ran out of contracts. It wasn’t long before he realized the Taliban were the only game in town, he said.
“I spent all my savings to feed my family and didn’t have another source of income, so I joined them.” More from CNN.

 

Advanced Copy: Groundbreaking Interview/Ben Rhodes

This is the most chilling interview since that of Jeffrey Goldberg’s Atlantic interview with Barack Obama. It all comes down to how Iraq drove this White House on all foreign policy decisions including that of normalizing relations with Iran and how the Oval Office propaganda arm worked and still works with particular emphasis on the nuclear deal.

Please ensure you seat belt is securely buckled. Turbulence ahead….comes with knowing the real facts and truths.

The Aspiring Novelist Who Became Obama’s Foreign-Policy Guru

How Ben Rhodes rewrote the rules of diplomacy for the digital age.

Today: National Change Your Password Day, Why?

Russian Hackers Have 270 Million Email Logins, Including Gmail and Yahoo Accounts

Gizmodo: A report from Reuters suggests that over 270 million hacked email credentials—including those from Gmail, Hotmail and Yahoo—are circulating among Russian digital crime rings.

Reuters reports that an investigation by Hold Security revealed the huge stash of login details, that are said to be being traded among criminals. Many of the credentials relate to the Russian email service Mail.ru, but the team has also identified details from Google, Yahoo and Microsoft.

Update: There may, however, not be too much cause for concern, as Motherboard points out that the data may in fact be taken from a series of older hacks, which means the credentials are likely useless.

The team from Hold Security was offered a tranche of 1.17 billion email user records in an online forum, and asked to pay just $1 for a copy of the data. The team refused to pay for stolen data, but was given the information anyway when it offered to post positive comments about the hacker online.

The team has since sifted through the data set to remove duplicates, revealing that it contains 270 million unique records. Alex Holden, the founder of Hold Security, told Reuters that the data was “potent,” adding that the “credentials can be abused multiple times.”

Hold Security has apparently alerted all of the affected email providers. Mail.ru, Google, Yahoo and Microsoft are all now investigating the situation.

A Microsoft spokesperson told Gizmodo that “unfortunately, there are places on the internet where leaked and stolen credentials are posted,” adding that it “has security measures in place to detect account compromise and requires additional information to verify the account owner and help them regain sole access to their account.”

It may be that the stash is out of date and doesn’t present too much of a security threat—though, of course, it could be a new pool of data, in which case the accounts included in the tranche could be at risk. Initial reports to the BBC from Mail.ru suggest that, from a sample of the records, there may not be many live email-passwords combinations in the data.

But it may be a good time to refresh your password anyway.

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In a Wednesday statement, Mail.ru said its early analysis suggests many username/password combinations contain the same username paired with different passwords.

“We are now checking whether any username/password combinations match valid login information for our email service, and as soon as we have enough information we will warn the users that might have been affected,” the Russian service said.

The cache reportedly included tens of millions of certificates for Google Gmail, Microsoft Hotmail, and Yahoo Mail, as well as German and Chinese email providers.

“Unfortunately, there are places on the Internet where leaked and stolen credentials are posted, and when we come across these or someone sends them to us, we act to protect customers,” a Microsoft spokeswoman told PCMag. “Microsoft has security measures in place to detect account compromise and requires additional information to verify the account owner and help them regain sole access to their account.”

Google declined to comment, while Yahoo did not immediately respond to PCMag’s request.

The junior hacker—either inexperienced in the art of haggling, or just too rich to care—asked for only 50 rubles in exchange for the “incredibly large set of data.” Equivalent to about 75 cents, the payment request did little to boost Hold Security’s confidence in the data’s credibility and value. The move was “similar to an expensive sports car being sold for pennies at auction,” the firm said.

Hold refused to pay and convinced the hacker to trade the data for likes/votes on his social media page.

“At the end, this kid from a small town in Russia collected an incredible 1.17 billion stolen credentials from numerous breaches that we are still working on identifying,” Hold Security said. More from PC Magazine.

*****

In a shocking report from FireEye Inc., a California security firm with top government connections, as well as three other reports, the existence of a Russian-based hacker group, which appears to be a joint effort by the Russian government and the Russian Mafia, has been revealed, The Wall Street Journal reports.

Terming the hacker attack “Safacy” or “APT28,” the computer anti-hacking firm’s report, called “A Window Into Russia’s Cyber Espionage Operations,” notes, “We assess that APT28’s work is sponsored by the Russian government” and is more technically sophisticated than Chinese-hacking efforts earlier detected and exposed by FireEye, the report states.
“I worry a lot more about the Russians” than about China, James Clapper, director of national intelligence, said at a University of Texas forum, the Journal reports. More from NewsMax.

al Qaeda Establishing an Emirate in Syria

How about that bin Ladin is dead and al Qaeda is decimated declaration made by Barack Obama? Anyone? This begs the next question, ‘is this a matter for just Iran and Russia?’

   

Al Qaeda Is About to Establish an Emirate in Northern Syria

Syrian Refugees Allowed in Russia, Not So Much

There are some refugees in Russia yet is seems the process is highly controlled and with stipulated boundaries and conditions.

There are currently about 12,000 Syrian refugees in Russia, according to the Federal Migration Service, only 2,000 of whom have so far received legal residency papers. Human rights activists say the bureaucratic logjam is unacceptable and point out that most of the Ukrainian refugees also lack legal documentation.

“There is no policy on refugees in our state,” says Svetlana Gannushkina, chair of the Committee for Civil Assistance, a nongovernmental organization that works with migrants. “When large numbers of Ukrainians started coming here, they were at first met with kindness. But soon all official interest in them disappeared.”

Russia already has a huge and largely underground population of Muslim migrant workers, mostly from former-Soviet central Asia. Experts say that any Syrian refugees who have made it to Moscow are probably blending in with that group.

But that could change. A summary of press reports in the Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda suggests that increasing numbers of savvy Syrians are entering Russia on student or tourist visas, hopping on the train to Murmansk, and then heading directly to Norway’s single border crossing with Russia. 

Fewer than 200 people have been so far recorded using this unique method of escape, to Russia’s far north by train and into Norway, often by bicycle from nearby Murmansk, high above the Arctic Circle.

The paper says that local taxi drivers are charging over $1,000 for the two-hour drive, while the price of bicycles has soared. Much more here from CS Monitor.

Syrians Have No Chance Of Asylum In Russia

A Russian solicitor working with Syrian refugees tells Sky News there are “unwritten rules” preventing them gaining asylum status.

Sky News has discovered the extraordinary lengths to which Russian President Vladimir Putin’s administration is going to keep out Syrian asylum seekers.

Russia has granted two Syrians full asylum status since the conflict began in 2011.

In comparison, Germany is currently accepting about 35,000 people per month.

Makhachkala, the biggest city in the Russian state of Dagestan, is a chaotic spot – with half-built apartment blocks and partly paved roads fanning out, spaghetti-like, from the western edge of the Caspian Sea.

Makhachkala city

Makhachkala, the biggest city in Dagestan, is a chaotic spot

Among the 600,000 people who live here, there is just one man – a solicitor called Shamil Magemadov – who is willing to work with refugees.

“That’s surprising, I know,” says the 37-year-old.

“Syrians who come here (seeking asylum) share the same religion as the residents, but it doesn’t seem to make a difference.”

As Makhachkala goes, so does the rest of Russia.

It may be the principal military backer of the Syrian regime but that does not mean Russia is willing to accept its citizens fleeing war and terror.

We joined Mr Magemadov as he made his way to the local lock-up where five Syrian asylum seekers are being held indefinitely.

They have all applied for refugee status but lack the proper paperwork permitting them to stay.

As a consequence, each one has spent more than a year behind bars – and human rights groups believe there are Syrians in similar circumstances sitting in just about every detention centre in the country.

“They are very depressed,” said Mr Magemadov, when I asked about their mental state.

“They have been in there a long time and they don’t know if they’re ever getting out.”

Makhachkala city

The detention centre where the five men are being held

What is clear is that these men have no chance of getting asylum.

Nonetheless, the ‘Makhachkala 5’ did leave the detention complex in February, when Russian migration officials tried to secretly deport them back to Syria.

A decision, says Mr Magemadov, that could have cost them their lives.

When he got wind of what was going on, he immediately tried to block it at the European Court of Human Rights.

“They were waiting at Moscow airport (to be deported) and I filed a petition to the court,” he said.

“We had no time to lose. If the court sided with me after the government put them on the plane, we knew we would never get them back.”

Sky News has learned that such deportations are common.

According to the United Nations refugee agency (UNHCR) and other civil society groups operating in Russia, at least 18 Syrians have been sent back directly to Syria, contravening the 1951 Refugee Convention (of which Russia is a signatory) and the Russian Constitution.

Sky News has been told the total number of Syrians deported is “almost certainly far higher” but this number represents those cases they have heard about and can confirm.

The lives of the five men in Makhachkala may have been saved but they told us they have little, or nothing, to live for.

Zacharia Berri, from Aleppo in Syria, has spent almost a year inside and during that time, he has twice tried to take his own life.

The second attempt was made in February, just before Russian migration officials tried to take them all to the airport.

In a message recorded on a telephone inside the detention centre, Mr Berri told Sky News: “I don’t want to go to Syria, I oppose the regime.

“I am a wanted man. The security services are waiting for me to send me to the army. I don’t want to go.”

We have obtained this picture of the 24-year-old after he tried to slash his left wrist two months ago.

Zacharia Berri

Zacharia Berri tried to slash his left wrist

Sky News also received this picture, in the past few days, of another inmate called Rebar Kasar.

The young Syrian has taken a chunk out of his own arm because, after 14 months inside he says he is “going insane”.

Rebar Kasar

Rebar Kasar says he is “going insane”

Aleppo native Sabri Koro has spent 16 months inside and told us it has been particularly difficult because he has a Russian wife and child who he is not allowed to see.

Migration officials rejected his asylum request on the basis that he has failed to provide his family with “manly and fatherly care”.

The registration of his marriage, which took place after he had been detained, was proof, said officials, of paternal negligence.

Sabri Koro and family

Sabri Koro and his wife Kalimat Kouro

Mr Magemadov chuckles when the subject of the migration service’s ‘rejection notices’ is raised.

The Russian migration service uses – and reuses – the same templates when issuing these rejections, telling failed applicants they are “in no more danger than other citizens living (in Syria)”.

The country is safe, add the templates, because the regime is “in control of about 50% of the territory”.

For the troubled-looking refugee lawyer, in the sprawling city of Makhachkala, the arrests and detentions, the deportations and the rejection slips, are simple proof of an unacknowledged yet active government policy.

“I think there are unwritten rules regarding Syrians,” he said.

“Why do citizens of Ukraine get asylum without problems (in Russia), but citizens of Syria do not?”